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Vancouver Peak › The Peak › General Chatter v
Downtime Chat Room

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Downtime Chat Room
03-01-2013, 01:20 PM,
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RE: Downtime Chat Room
(03-01-2013, 01:00 PM)VMD Wrote: @ScubaSteve

Below is my "conservative" projection, assuming Inventory and Sales #s follow similar trajectory as last year (no major adverse global/national financial event in 2013).

MOI Projections based on 20% YoY sales decline, and +5% YoY Total Inventory count.
MOI 2012 2013
Sep 12.1 15.9
Aug 10.7 14.0
July _8.6 11.3
Jun _7.8 10.3
May 6.3 _8.2
Apr _5.9 _7.8
Mar _5.3 _7.0
Feb _5.5 _8.2

So Yes, it's possible that we hit 15+ MOI by mid summer

It would probably depend on how prices hold, right? If prices don't drop, the MOI would keep increasing as excess inventory builds up. If prices start dropping, inventory will start selling, and the MOI will lower as prices lower. My guess is that it will be slow to start in the beginning, so MOI will go higher and higher and prices slowly creep down. After that, price drops might start accelerating. Just a guess though!
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Messages In This Thread
Downtime Chat Room - by VMD - 03-01-2013, 09:31 AM
RE: Downtime Chat Room - by manyfranks - 03-01-2013, 11:08 AM
RE: Downtime Chat Room - by VMD - 03-01-2013, 11:30 AM
RE: Downtime Chat Room - by ScubaSteve - 03-01-2013, 12:00 PM
RE: Downtime Chat Room - by VMD - 03-01-2013, 01:00 PM
RE: Downtime Chat Room - by [email protected] - 03-01-2013, 01:20 PM
RE: Downtime Chat Room - by VMD - 03-01-2013, 01:26 PM

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